Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#316
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#316
Pace70.2#167
Improvement+2.3#85

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#313
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#345
Layup/Dunks-1.7#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#212
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement+2.1#85

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#297
First Shot-7.0#342
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#13
Layups/Dunks-3.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#59
Freethrows-2.3#316
Improvement+0.2#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 22, 2015 203   @ Portland L 57-87 15%     0 - 1 -29.9 -24.1 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2015 142   @ Colorado St. L 100-108 2OT 9%     0 - 2 -3.7 +6.0 -8.2
  Nov 27, 2015 350   Florida A&M W 72-62 74%     1 - 2 -7.4 -7.6 -0.4
  Nov 28, 2015 88   Oakland L 57-85 6%     1 - 3 -21.6 -22.0 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2015 243   New Hampshire L 75-86 38%     1 - 4 -18.7 +0.9 -19.8
  Dec 05, 2015 79   @ Nebraska L 63-73 4%     1 - 5 -0.1 -5.8 +5.7
  Dec 18, 2015 234   UC Riverside L 56-60 37%     1 - 6 -11.3 -24.9 +14.0
  Dec 20, 2015 113   @ TCU L 69-80 6%     1 - 7 -4.6 +0.6 -4.9
  Dec 22, 2015 254   @ Drake L 70-87 22%     1 - 8 -19.6 -4.6 -15.5
  Jan 02, 2016 327   @ Central Arkansas W 62-61 44%     2 - 8 1 - 0 -8.3 -20.3 +12.0
  Jan 09, 2016 333   @ Nicholls St. L 62-63 47%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -11.0 -13.3 +2.3
  Jan 12, 2016 340   Northwestern St. W 87-72 72%     3 - 9 2 - 1 -1.8 -6.1 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2016 54   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-97 3%     3 - 10 2 - 2 -22.3 +0.6 -25.9
  Jan 19, 2016 334   McNeese St. W 75-67 70%     4 - 10 3 - 2 -8.2 -4.0 -3.9
  Jan 23, 2016 267   @ Incarnate Word L 60-74 25%     4 - 11 3 - 3 -17.6 -13.9 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2016 225   @ Sam Houston St. L 51-72 17%     4 - 12 3 - 4 -21.8 -20.0 -2.7
  Jan 30, 2016 330   Lamar W 80-71 67%     5 - 12 4 - 4 -6.4 -6.0 -1.0
  Feb 02, 2016 284   Houston Baptist W 79-72 50%     6 - 12 5 - 4 -3.9 -4.6 +0.4
  Feb 06, 2016 322   @ SE Louisiana L 60-81 41%     6 - 13 5 - 5 -29.4 -14.2 -16.2
  Feb 08, 2016 330   @ Lamar W 71-67 45%     7 - 13 6 - 5 -5.6 -4.3 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. L 71-84 34%     7 - 14 6 - 6 -19.6 -2.2 -17.9
  Feb 18, 2016 284   @ Houston Baptist L 71-73 29%     7 - 15 6 - 7 -7.0 -2.6 -4.6
  Feb 21, 2016 322   SE Louisiana W 91-80 63%     8 - 15 7 - 7 -3.2 +8.3 -11.9
  Feb 23, 2016 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59-65 12%     8 - 16 7 - 8 -3.9 -5.0 +0.4
  Feb 27, 2016 326   New Orleans W 87-84 65%     9 - 16 8 - 8 -11.7 -3.7 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2016 267   Incarnate Word L 70-74 45%     9 - 17 8 - 9 -13.4 -10.5 -2.8
  Mar 05, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-74 25%     9 - 18 8 - 10 -8.8 -9.9 +1.5
Projected Record 9.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%